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PendingPublished January 15, 2026

Fewer than one in three enterprise GenAI pilots will reach production in 2026

Pilot-to-production conversion stays under 33% through 2026, with data readiness and change management — not model quality — as the binding constraints.

Sourcing and reasoning

IDC and S&P Global surveys through 2025 showed rising abandonment rates for GenAI proofs of concept. Nothing in current buying behaviour suggests 2026 breaks the pattern.

Based on public data: S&P Global Market Intelligence, 2025

Unresolved. This prediction is reviewed quarterly and marked Correct or Wrong in public, either way.

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